Valuation Difference between Public and Private Sector Banks -

 Every value investor today must be in a dilemma what is the basic difference in modus operandi of a public and a private sector bank that on the one hand PSU Banks command a valuation of 5-6 times earnings while public sector banks anywhere in the range of 15-30 times. Recent slippages in the asset qualities of public sector banks, reducing CASA ratios, reducing NIMs, and a moderating ROA and ROE ratios have weighed heavily on the valuation of PSU Banks. Even at such compelling valuations, investors choose to stay away from such stocks. Will these banks be able to bounce back in future given their strong retail base, government support, already high CASA ratios, huge network (of branches and ATMs) remains to be seen. While the overall future looks promising, the counter will attract investors only if these Banks are able to show reduction in NPAs, arrest reduction in CASA deposits, and report improvement in profitability (NIMs, ROA, ROE etc.) for a quarter or two.
However a look at the table below clearly shows the valuation difference even among private sector Banks. While on the one hand KMB trades at ~ 40 times earnings , on the other hands strong franchisees like AXIS bank trade at just ~ 12 times earnings. Such kind of mis-pricing definitely provides an investing opportunity to a value investor :-)


Name CAGR PE  PB ROA ROE NIMs NPAs
Income PAT ratio  ratio Avg 5 years
Gross
HDFC 28% 34% 31.1 5.4 ~1.65% ~ 17.5% 4.20% 1.00%
ICICI 1% 12% 18.4 2


3.80%
Axis 34% 41% 13 2.4 1.55% 19.50% 3.40% 1.10%
IndusInd 31% 53% 23.1 4.1

3.20% 1.00%
Yes Bank 57% 60% 15.9 3.3 ~1.5% ~ 20.0% 2.90% 0.24%
Karur Vysya 30% 26% 9.8 1.8












SBI 21% 19% 12.1 1.3


4.40%
BOB 27% 38% 6 1.1 ~ 1.1% ~20.6% 3.20% 1.50%
PNB 27% 26% 5.2 1 1.25% 21.00%
2.90%
IDBI 29% 33% 6.4 0.7


2.50%
Corporation 30% 29% 4 0.7

2.30% 0.90%
UCO 23% 33% 4.3 0.8


3.50%


VIJAY